Your Trusted Houston Commercial Real Estate Brokerage

Viking Enterprise LLC is part of eXp Commercial, an agent-led, cloud-based commercial real estate brokerage with agents across the globe.

Your Trusted Katy / Fulshear & Houston Commercial Real Estate Brokerage

Viking Enterprise LLC is part of eXp Commercial, an agent-led, cloud-based commercial real estate brokerage with agents across the globe.

Looking to invest, buy, sell or lease? We can help.

Looking to invest, buy, sell or lease? We can help.

OUR FEATURED TENANTS & CLIENTS

eXp Commercial - Viking Enterprise Team's real estate network provides unparalleled commercial real estate services to Tenants and Landlords around the Katy- Houston area. Our knowledge, experience, and reputation sets us apart from many firms.


A commercial property owner might have various plans that would necessitate the services of a commercial real estate broker. Some of the common scenarios include:

1. Selling the Property: If the owner decides it’s time to sell the property, a commercial real estate broker can help determine the market value, market the property effectively, and negotiate with potential buyers to get the best possible price.

2. Leasing Space: For property owners looking to lease out part or all of their commercial space, a broker can help find suitable tenants, negotiate lease terms, and ensure the lease agreements meet all legal requirements and serve the owner’s best interests.

3. Acquiring More Properties: Owners looking to expand their portfolio would benefit from a broker's knowledge of the market, access to listings, and negotiation skills to secure additional properties at favorable terms.

4. Property Management: While not all brokers offer this service, some commercial real estate brokers or their affiliates offer property management services. This can be particularly appealing for owners who prefer a hands-off approach or are managing properties from a distance.

5. Market Analysis: Owners considering future developments, renovations, or rebranding of their property might engage a broker for a comprehensive market analysis. This helps in understanding current market trends, the demand for different types of spaces, and potential returns on investment for various strategies.

6. Refinancing: In situations where a property owner is looking to refinance their property, a commercial real estate broker can provide valuable insights into the property’s current market value, assist in gathering necessary documentation, and even help in finding the best financing options.

7. Partnership or Investment Opportunities: Owners interested in exploring partnerships, joint ventures, or seeking investors for expansion or development projects might use a broker to find and vet potential partners or investors.

8. Consulting on Zoning and Use Changes: When contemplating a change in the use of the property or dealing with zoning issues, a broker with experience in local regulations and the specific property type can provide guidance and strategic planning assistance.

9. Exit Strategy Planning: For owners looking to plan an exit strategy from their investment, whether it’s through a strategic sale or a gradual winding down of operations, brokers can provide market insights, timing advice, and valuation services to optimize the exit process.

In any of these scenarios, the expertise and services provided by a commercial real estate broker can save the property owner time and money, while also providing access to a wider network of potential buyers, tenants, and industry professionals. Give us a call today!

Reviews

🏦➡️🏢 “Why the 10-Year Treasury Is Quietly Repricing CRE Deals Across the Country” 💡📉

📉📈 “How the 10-Year Treasury Impacts Commercial Real Estate Pricing in 2025–2026” 📊🏢

November 25, 20253 min read

📉📈 “How the 10-Year Treasury Impacts Commercial Real Estate Pricing in 2025–2026” 📊🏢

🏦➡️🏢 “Why the 10-Year Treasury Is Quietly Repricing CRE Deals Across the Country” 💡📉


How the 10-Year Treasury Is Quietly Shifting CRE Pricing in 2025–2026

If you invest in commercial real estate, the 10-Year Treasury (10Y) is one of the most important numbers in your world — whether you track it daily or barely think about it.

Why?
Because the 10Y acts as the gravity of CRE pricing.

When it moves, everything from cap rates to loan terms to purchase prices starts shifting — sometimes subtly, sometimes dramatically.

Today’s market is experiencing exactly that.


🔍 Why the 10-Year Treasury Matters for CRE

Commercial real estate values are directly tied to borrowing costs, and borrowing costs are tied to benchmarks like:

·The 10-Year Treasury

·SOFR

·Commercial MBS spreads

·Bank risk premiums

Most permanent CRE loans — including:

·Life company loans

·CMBS

·Agency (Multifamily)

·Some bank products

— all price based on the 10Y plus a spread.

So when the 10Y jumps from 3.5% to 4.7%, the impact cascades:

👉 Higher interest rates

👉 Higher debt service

👉 Lower leverage

👉 Lower cap rate tolerance

👉 Lower buyer purchase power

And ultimately…

👉 Lower property values.


⚠️ What’s Quietly Happening in Today’s Market

Most investors feel the softness in pricing… but many don’t understand why.

Here’s what’s really driving it:


1. The 10-Year Treasury Has Stayed Elevated Longer Than Expected

Investors began 2024 expecting rapid rate cuts.
But inflation stayed sticky — and the 10Y stayed above historical norms.

That stability is creating:

·Softer valuations

·Reduced speculative buying

·Wider bid–ask spreads

This is especially true for:

·Office

·Tertiary markets

·Class B/C multifamily

·Stabilized industrial with low NOI growth


2. Cap Rates Are Repricing to Match Higher Financing Costs

Even if sellers haven’t accepted it yet, the market already has.

A property that traded at a 5.0 cap in 2022 when rates were 3%…
cannot trade at a 5.0 cap when rates are 6.5%.

Today’s spread no longer works.

This is why investors are insisting on:

·Cap rate expansion

·Seller credits

·Price reductions

·Assumable loans

·Creative financing


3. Debt Service Coverage Ratios Are Squeezing LTVs

Banks and non-bank lenders are protecting themselves by lowering leverage.

Instead of 75% LTV…
Many deals today qualify at 55%–65% LTV because DSCR doesn’t pencil.

That alone pushes prices down.


4. Certain Asset Classes Are Thriving Despite Treasury Volatility

Not everything is soft.

Some sectors are enjoying strong capital demand regardless of rates:

·Industrial & logistics

·Medical office

·Storage in primary markets

·Land in fast-growth corridors (Katy, Fulshear, I-10 West)

·Build-to-rent (BTR)

These asset classes are powered by demographic growth — not just cheap debt.


📊 What Smart Investors Are Doing Right Now

Watching spreads, not just the 10Y

A 25 bps drop in spreads can matter more than a 10Y drop.

Locking in early if rates dip

Treasury dips are happening in 48–72 hour windows.

Targeting sellers with adjustable expectations

Especially in tertiary markets and office.

Favoring high-growth metros

Texas remains one of the strongest.

Using creative financing

Assumptions, seller carry, rate buydowns, bridge → perm strategies.


🧭 Bottom Line: The 10-Year Treasury Is Repricing CRE — Quietly but Powerfully

If you’re an investor, developer, or business owner, you must track the 10Y just like you track:

·Vacancy rates

·Rents

·Supply pipelines

·New construction costs

Because over the next 12–18 months…

The investors who buy when the Treasury dips will get the best pricing.
The ones who wait may miss the window.


https://www.houstonrealestatebrokerage.com/

https://www.houstonrealestatebrokerage.com/houston-cre-navigator

https://www.commercialexchange.com/agent/653bf5593e3a3e1dcec275a6

http://expressoffers.com/[email protected]

https://app.bullpenre.com/profile/1742476177701x437444415125976000

https://author.billrapponline.com/

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0F32Z5BH2

https://veed.cello.so/FOmzTty6oi9

https://creplaybookseries.billrapponline.com

https://creplaybook.billrapponline.com/


© 2023-2024 Bill Rapp, Broker Associate, eXp Commercial Viking Enterprise Team


commercial real estate pricing10 year treasury5 yr treasury7 yr treasuryCRE market trends 2025CRE market trends 2026interest rates and CREcap rate expansioncommercial property values 2025commercial property values 2026CRE financing ratesloan underwriting commercial real estatetreasury yield impact on real estateTexas commercial real estate trendsKaty commercial real estate trendsFulshear commercial real estate trendsBrookshire commercial real estate trendsRichmond commercial real estate trends
blog author image

Bill Rapp, CRE Broker

I am a Houston commercial broker, with residential experience, as well as a lending background. I have been in the real estate industry for 14 years and counting, and I have worked in many roles within the industry and each has given me a unique perspective of the industry as a whole. My dedication to clients is rooted in this industry knowledge, but also includes my desire to go the extra mile in networking to source off market opportunities for my clients. Me and my team at eXp Commercial have a cutting-edge technology package that gets the widest exposure for each transaction. eXp Commercial offers a nationwide network through which we can deliver the best exposure and professional advice to achieve our clients’ goals while also minimizing their risk. Clients appreciate my methodical method of discovery in our initial consultation. Through which we can get to know each other and their specific’s business’s needs and objectives on a granular level. Our processes help navigate each transaction and its potential pitfalls through to a successful outcome for our clients. It is my stated goal to provide our clients with extensive market analysis and expertise that fosters innovative solutions and rewarding commercial real estate opportunities.

Back to Blog

eXp Commercial - Viking Enterprise team real estate network provides unparalleled commercial real estate services to Tenants and Landlords around the greater Katy & Houston MSA area. Our knowledge, experience, and reputation sets us apart from many firms.

A commercial property owner might have various plans that would necessitate the services of a commercial real estate broker. Some of the common scenarios include:

1. Selling the Property: If the owner decides it’s time to sell the property, a commercial real estate broker can help determine the market value, market the property effectively, and negotiate with potential buyers to get the best possible price.

2. Leasing Space: For property owners looking to lease out part or all of their commercial space, a broker can help find suitable tenants, negotiate lease terms, and ensure the lease agreements meet all legal requirements and serve the owner’s best interests.

3. Acquiring More Properties: Owners looking to expand their portfolio would benefit from a broker's knowledge of the market, access to listings, and negotiation skills to secure additional properties at favorable terms.

4. Property Management: While not all brokers offer this service, some commercial real estate brokers or their affiliates offer property management services. This can be particularly appealing for owners who prefer a hands-off approach or are managing properties from a distance.

5. Market Analysis: Owners considering future developments, renovations, or rebranding of their property might engage a broker for a comprehensive market analysis. This helps in understanding current market trends, the demand for different types of spaces, and potential returns on investment for various strategies.

6. Refinancing: In situations where a property owner is looking to refinance their property, a commercial real estate broker can provide valuable insights into the property’s current market value, assist in gathering necessary documentation, and even help in finding the best financing options.

7. Partnership or Investment Opportunities: Owners interested in exploring partnerships, joint ventures, or seeking investors for expansion or development projects might use a broker to find and vet potential partners or investors.

8. Consulting on Zoning and Use Changes: When contemplating a change in the use of the property or dealing with zoning issues, a broker with experience in local regulations and the specific property type can provide guidance and strategic planning assistance.

9. Exit Strategy Planning: For owners looking to plan an exit strategy from their investment, whether it’s through a strategic sale or a gradual winding down of operations, brokers can provide market insights, timing advice, and valuation services to optimize the exit process.

In any of these scenarios, the expertise and services provided by a commercial real estate broker can save the property owner time and money, while also providing access to a wider network of potential buyers, tenants, and industry professionals. Give us a call today!

Find the perfect location for your business.

Let us help your business succeed.

🏦➡️🏢 “Why the 10-Year Treasury Is Quietly Repricing CRE Deals Across the Country” 💡📉

📉📈 “How the 10-Year Treasury Impacts Commercial Real Estate Pricing in 2025–2026” 📊🏢

November 25, 20253 min read

📉📈 “How the 10-Year Treasury Impacts Commercial Real Estate Pricing in 2025–2026” 📊🏢

🏦➡️🏢 “Why the 10-Year Treasury Is Quietly Repricing CRE Deals Across the Country” 💡📉


How the 10-Year Treasury Is Quietly Shifting CRE Pricing in 2025–2026

If you invest in commercial real estate, the 10-Year Treasury (10Y) is one of the most important numbers in your world — whether you track it daily or barely think about it.

Why?
Because the 10Y acts as the gravity of CRE pricing.

When it moves, everything from cap rates to loan terms to purchase prices starts shifting — sometimes subtly, sometimes dramatically.

Today’s market is experiencing exactly that.


🔍 Why the 10-Year Treasury Matters for CRE

Commercial real estate values are directly tied to borrowing costs, and borrowing costs are tied to benchmarks like:

·The 10-Year Treasury

·SOFR

·Commercial MBS spreads

·Bank risk premiums

Most permanent CRE loans — including:

·Life company loans

·CMBS

·Agency (Multifamily)

·Some bank products

— all price based on the 10Y plus a spread.

So when the 10Y jumps from 3.5% to 4.7%, the impact cascades:

👉 Higher interest rates

👉 Higher debt service

👉 Lower leverage

👉 Lower cap rate tolerance

👉 Lower buyer purchase power

And ultimately…

👉 Lower property values.


⚠️ What’s Quietly Happening in Today’s Market

Most investors feel the softness in pricing… but many don’t understand why.

Here’s what’s really driving it:


1. The 10-Year Treasury Has Stayed Elevated Longer Than Expected

Investors began 2024 expecting rapid rate cuts.
But inflation stayed sticky — and the 10Y stayed above historical norms.

That stability is creating:

·Softer valuations

·Reduced speculative buying

·Wider bid–ask spreads

This is especially true for:

·Office

·Tertiary markets

·Class B/C multifamily

·Stabilized industrial with low NOI growth


2. Cap Rates Are Repricing to Match Higher Financing Costs

Even if sellers haven’t accepted it yet, the market already has.

A property that traded at a 5.0 cap in 2022 when rates were 3%…
cannot trade at a 5.0 cap when rates are 6.5%.

Today’s spread no longer works.

This is why investors are insisting on:

·Cap rate expansion

·Seller credits

·Price reductions

·Assumable loans

·Creative financing


3. Debt Service Coverage Ratios Are Squeezing LTVs

Banks and non-bank lenders are protecting themselves by lowering leverage.

Instead of 75% LTV…
Many deals today qualify at 55%–65% LTV because DSCR doesn’t pencil.

That alone pushes prices down.


4. Certain Asset Classes Are Thriving Despite Treasury Volatility

Not everything is soft.

Some sectors are enjoying strong capital demand regardless of rates:

·Industrial & logistics

·Medical office

·Storage in primary markets

·Land in fast-growth corridors (Katy, Fulshear, I-10 West)

·Build-to-rent (BTR)

These asset classes are powered by demographic growth — not just cheap debt.


📊 What Smart Investors Are Doing Right Now

Watching spreads, not just the 10Y

A 25 bps drop in spreads can matter more than a 10Y drop.

Locking in early if rates dip

Treasury dips are happening in 48–72 hour windows.

Targeting sellers with adjustable expectations

Especially in tertiary markets and office.

Favoring high-growth metros

Texas remains one of the strongest.

Using creative financing

Assumptions, seller carry, rate buydowns, bridge → perm strategies.


🧭 Bottom Line: The 10-Year Treasury Is Repricing CRE — Quietly but Powerfully

If you’re an investor, developer, or business owner, you must track the 10Y just like you track:

·Vacancy rates

·Rents

·Supply pipelines

·New construction costs

Because over the next 12–18 months…

The investors who buy when the Treasury dips will get the best pricing.
The ones who wait may miss the window.


https://www.houstonrealestatebrokerage.com/

https://www.houstonrealestatebrokerage.com/houston-cre-navigator

https://www.commercialexchange.com/agent/653bf5593e3a3e1dcec275a6

http://expressoffers.com/[email protected]

https://app.bullpenre.com/profile/1742476177701x437444415125976000

https://author.billrapponline.com/

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0F32Z5BH2

https://veed.cello.so/FOmzTty6oi9

https://creplaybookseries.billrapponline.com

https://creplaybook.billrapponline.com/


© 2023-2024 Bill Rapp, Broker Associate, eXp Commercial Viking Enterprise Team


commercial real estate pricing10 year treasury5 yr treasury7 yr treasuryCRE market trends 2025CRE market trends 2026interest rates and CREcap rate expansioncommercial property values 2025commercial property values 2026CRE financing ratesloan underwriting commercial real estatetreasury yield impact on real estateTexas commercial real estate trendsKaty commercial real estate trendsFulshear commercial real estate trendsBrookshire commercial real estate trendsRichmond commercial real estate trends
blog author image

Bill Rapp, CRE Broker

I am a Houston commercial broker, with residential experience, as well as a lending background. I have been in the real estate industry for 14 years and counting, and I have worked in many roles within the industry and each has given me a unique perspective of the industry as a whole. My dedication to clients is rooted in this industry knowledge, but also includes my desire to go the extra mile in networking to source off market opportunities for my clients. Me and my team at eXp Commercial have a cutting-edge technology package that gets the widest exposure for each transaction. eXp Commercial offers a nationwide network through which we can deliver the best exposure and professional advice to achieve our clients’ goals while also minimizing their risk. Clients appreciate my methodical method of discovery in our initial consultation. Through which we can get to know each other and their specific’s business’s needs and objectives on a granular level. Our processes help navigate each transaction and its potential pitfalls through to a successful outcome for our clients. It is my stated goal to provide our clients with extensive market analysis and expertise that fosters innovative solutions and rewarding commercial real estate opportunities.

Back to Blog

Find the perfect location for your business.

Let us help your business succeed.

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27815 Astoria Brook Ln

Katy, TX 77494 USA


9600 Great Hills Trail, Suite 150w Austin, TX 78759 |
855.450.0324 xx255

Texas Real Estate Commission Consumer Protection Notice Texas Real Estate Commission

Information About Brokerage Services eXp Commercial LLC #9010212

Viking Enterprise LLC #9009614

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Contact Us

27815 Astoria Brook Ln

Katy, TX 77494 USA

901 S Mopac Expwy, Bldg 2, Suite 350 Austin, TX 78746 | 512.474.5557Texas Real Estate Commission

Consumer Protection Notice Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services Reliance Retail, LLC #603091

Texas RS, LLC #9003193 | RESOLUT RE Is Licensed In Louisiana #0995694083